73 Connie Black, ‘Millions for Millions’, New Yorker, 30.10.2006. Pp. 62–73.
74 Shiller, ‘Recent Trends in House Prices’.
75 Edward L. Glaeser and Joseph Gyourko, ‘Housing Dynamics’, NBER Working Paper 12787 (обновленная версия, 31.3.2007).
76 Robert J. Shiller, The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21st Century (Princeton, 2003).
VI. От империи к Кимерике
i Dominic Wilson and Roopa Purushothaman, ‘Dreaming with the BRICs: The Path to 2050’, Goldman Sachs Global Economics Paper, 99 (1.10.2003). См. также: Jim O’Neill, ‘Building Better Global Economic BRICs’, Goldman Sachs Global Economics Paper, 66 (30.11.2001); Jim O’Neill, Dominic Wilson, Roopa Purushothaman and Anna Stupnytska, ‘How Solid are the BRICs?’, Goldman Sachs Global Economics Paper, 134 (1.12.2005).
2 Dominic Wilson and Anna Stupnytska, ‘The N-n: More than an Acronym’, Goldman Sachs Global Economics Paper, 153 (28.3.2007).
3 Goldman Sachs Global Economics Group, BRICs and Beyond (London, 2007), особенно стр. 45–72, 103–108.
4 Этот аргумент приводится Кеннетом Померанцем, см.: Kenneth Pomeranz, The Great Divergence: China, Europe and the Making of the Modern World Economy (Princeton/Oxford, 2000). Некоторые ученые оценивают положение Китая в 1700 году более сдержанно, см. например: Angus Maddison, The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective (Paris, 2001).
5 Подсчитано на основе оценок валового внутреннего продукта на душу населения, см.: Maddison, World Economy, table В-21.
6 Pomeranz, Great Divergence.
7 Наиболее важные из недавних работ на эту тему: Eric Jones, The European Miracle: Environments, Economies and Geopolitics in the History of Europe and Asia (Cambridge, 1981); David S. Landes, The Wealth and Poverty of Nations: Why Some are So Rich and Some So Poor (New York, 1998); Joel Mokyr, The Gifts of Athena: Historical Origins of the Knowledge Economy (Princeton, 2002); Gregory Clark, A Farewell to Alms: A Brief Economic History of the World (Princeton, 2007).
8 William N. Goetzmann, ‘Fibonacci and the Financial Revolution’, NBER Working Paper 10352 (March 2004).
9 William N. Goetzmann, Andrey D. Ukhov and Ning Zhu, ‘China and the World Financial Markets, 1870–1930: Modern Lessons from Historical Globalization’, Economic History Review (forthcoming).
10 Nicholas Crafts, ‘Globalisation and Growth in the Twentieth Century’, International Monetary Fund Working Paper, 00/44 (март 2000). См. также: Richard E. Baldwin and Philippe Martin, ‘Two Waves of Globalization: Superficial Similarities, Fundamental Differences’, NBER Working Paper 6904 (January 1999).
11 Barry R. Chiswick and Timothy J. Hatton, ‘International Migration and the Integration of Labor Markets’, in Michael D. Bordo, Alan M. Taylor and Jeffrey G. Williamson (eds.), Globalization in Historical Perspective (Chicago, 2003). Pp. 65-120.
12 Maurice Obstfeld and Alan M. Taylor, ‘Globalization and Capital Markets’, in Michael D. Bordo, Alan M. Taylor and Jeffrey G.
Williamson (eds.), Globalization in Historical Perspective